In a recent article by Kent's Imperative, we were treated to a brief tour through one of our favourite subjects, that of Predictive Intelligence and the role of the jester within the court of Kings and Queens. Our esteemed military counter-parts over at Kent's Imperatives say more than we could have ever said ourselves about the dispositions and insights that we ourselves have had since we were early teenagers. We give you the very best definition of Predictive Intelligence - care of Kent's Imperative.
Our preferred view on this is that predictive intelligence means bounding the space of future uncertainties within an estimative framework. Good predictive intelligence therefore are estimates (and the tradecraft used to develop such estimates) that accurately, coherently, and pragmatically provide a view of bounded uncertainties that provide actionable insights to decision-makers that correspond closely to the actual course of future events. Good predictive intelligence also addresses the potential shocks - such as Black Swan events - that may emerge in future scenarios, in much the same way that well crafted capabilities intelligence addresses linchpins and milestones.
Whether you work for the military, charitable organisations or commerce, we say that unless you develop a formal framework that qualifies the bounds of the uncertainties into measured spaces, you can never truly say that your risk register is anywhere near complete and this will have an unecessary effect on the collective confidence of the organisation. Furthermore, the injection of jesterlike communications into the stressed, repressed and depressed body of an organisation can serve to remove the veils of ignorance and open the way for conditions where your business is sufficiently sensitive enough to reap the rewards of effective Predictive Intelligence.
Predictive intelligence means bounding the space of future uncertainties within an estimative framework!
Why not try defining a predictive Intelligence framework for your organisation. If you require help, send us an email at firstname.lastname@example.org